BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
East Tennessee St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 16 Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength = 129.76
Conference: Southern Conference Record: (3-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (4-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home L * 110.08 37 49 1B 29 (6-1) Campbell -19.49 8.07 7.49
2 09-05-2026 Home W 125.16 48 14 2 79 (4-4) Tusculum -4.41 * 4.20 38.41
3 09-12-2026 Away L 133.06 3 35 1A 36 (4-2) North Carolina 3.49 * -23.55 -35.49
4 09-19-2026 Home W * 116.39 35 27 1B 69 (1-6) West Georgia -13.18 23.51 21.18
5 09-26-2026 Home W * * 149.75 58 31 1B 22 (3-4) Western Carolina 20.18 -3.30 6.82
6 10-03-2026 Home W * * 135.88 14 3 1B 24 (4-3) Chattanooga 6.30 -2.71 4.70
7 10-10-2026 Away W * * 136.68 34 16 1B 67 (2-5) The Citadel 7.11 11.24 10.89
8 10/24/2026 Away * * 1B 125 (0-7) VMI 47.24
9 10/31/2026 Home * * 1B 13 (6-1) Tennessee Tech 1.01
10 11/07/2026 Home * * 1B 62 (1-6) Samford 15.87
11 11/14/2026 Away * * 1B 39 (5-3) Wofford 4.70
12 11/21/2026 Away * * 1B 28 (6-2) Mercer 0.94
Averages 129.57 32.7 25.0
Best game: 149.75 = 27 point win over Western Carolina
Worst game: 110.08 = 12 point loss to Campbell
Team stdev: 13.43